A flexible pavement is constructed with 4 in. (10.16 cm) of hot mix asphalt wearing surface, 8
in. (20.32 cm) of emulsion/aggregate-bituminous base, and 8 in. (20.32 cm) of crushed stone
subbase. The subgrade has a soil resilient modulus of 10,000 psi (68.95 MPa), and M 2 and M 3
are equal to 1.0 for the materials in the pavement structure. The overall standard deviation is
0.5, the initial PSI is 4.5, and the TSI is 2.5. The daily traffic has 1080 20-kip (89.0-kN) single
axles, 400 24-kip (106.8-kN) single axles, and 680 40-kip (177.9-kN) tandem axles. How many
years would you estimate this pavement would last (i.e., how long before its PSI drops below a
TSI of 2.5) if you wanted to be 99% confident that your estimate was not too high, and if you
wanted to be 95% confident that your estimate was not too high?