Reading proficiency: An educator wants to construct a 99.5% confidence interval for the proportion of elementary school children in Colorado who are proficient in reading.

The results of a recent statewide test suggested that the proportion is 0.69.

Using this estimate, what sample size is needed so that the confidence interval will have a margin of error of 0.07?

Respuesta :

Answer:

A sample size of 345 is needed so that the confidence interval will have a margin of error of 0.07

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

The margin of error of the interval is given by:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In this problem, we have that:

[tex]p = 0.69[/tex]

99.5% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.005[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.005}{2} = 0.9975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 2.81[/tex].

Using this estimate, what sample size is needed so that the confidence interval will have a margin of error of 0.07?

This is n when M = 0.07. So

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.07 = 2.81\sqrt{\frac{0.69*0.31}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.07\sqrt{n} = 1.2996[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{1.2996}{0.07}[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = 18.5658[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^{2} = (18.5658)^{2}[/tex]

[tex]n = 345[/tex]

A sample size of 345 is needed so that the confidence interval will have a margin of error of 0.07