The U.S. Census Bureau conducts a study to determine the time needed to complete the short form. The Bureau surveys 200 people. The sample mean is 8.2 minutes. There is a known standard deviation of 2.2 minutes. The population distribution is assumed to be normal. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean time to complete the forms. State the confidence interval, sketch the graph, and calculate the error bound.

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]8.2-2.58\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{18}}=6.86[/tex]    

[tex]8.2+2.58\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{18}}=9.54[/tex]    

So on this case the 90% confidence interval would be given by (6.86;9.54)    And the error is given by:

[tex] ME= 2.58\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{18}} =1.338[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

[tex]\bar X=8.2[/tex] represent the sample mean for the sample  

[tex]\mu[/tex] population mean (variable of interest)

[tex]\sigma=2.2[/tex] represent the population standard deviation

n represent the sample size  

Solution to the problem

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:

[tex]\bar X \pm z_{\alpha/2}\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]   (1)

Since the Confidence is 0.90 or 90%, the value of [tex]\alpha=0.1[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.005[/tex], and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-NORM.INV(0.005,0,1)".And we see that [tex]z_{\alpha/2}=2.58[/tex]

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

[tex]8.2-2.58\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{18}}=6.86[/tex]    

[tex]8.2+2.58\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{18}}=9.54[/tex]    

So on this case the 90% confidence interval would be given by (6.86;9.54)    And the error is given by:

[tex] ME= 2.58\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{18}} =1.338[/tex]

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Answer:

90% confidence interval for the population mean time = [7.944 , 8.456]

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that the  Bureau surveys 200 people. The sample mean is 8.2 minutes. There is a known standard deviation of 2.2 minutes.

Now, the pivotal quantity for 90% confidence interval for the population mean time to complete the forms is;

       P.Q. = [tex]\frac{Xbar-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] ~ N(0,1)

where, Xbar = sample mean = 8.2 minutes

             [tex]\sigma[/tex] = population standard deviation = 2.2 minutes

             n = sample size = 200

So, 90% confidence interval for the population mean time, [tex]\mu[/tex] is ;

P(-1.6449 < N(0,1) < 1.6449) = 0.90

P(-1.6449 < [tex]\frac{Xbar-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] < 1.6449) = 0.90

P(-1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] < [tex]{Xbar-\mu}[/tex] < 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] ) = 0.90

P(Xbar - 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] < [tex]\mu[/tex] < Xbar + 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] ) = 0.90

90% confidence interval for [tex]\mu[/tex] = [Xbar - 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] , Xbar + 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} }}[/tex] ]

                                                 = [8.2 - 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{200} }}[/tex] , 8.2 + 1.6449 * [tex]{\frac{2.2}{\sqrt{200} }}[/tex] ]

                                                 = [7.944 , 8.456]

Therefore, 90% confidence interval for the population mean time to complete the forms is [7.944 , 8.456] .