The amount of natural gas that flows through a transmission line is measured in pounds of pressure. Assume that the average amount of natural gas in a 16-inch transmission main is supposed to be approximately 625 pounds per square inch. Past studies have suggested that this average varies by a standard deviation of 70 pounds per square inch. What is the probability that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) will randomly test a line and find the pressure to be less than 650 pounds? What is the probability that it is at most 640 pounds per square inch

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Answer:

a) [tex]P(X<650)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{650-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{650-625}{70})=P(z<0.357)[/tex]

And we can find this probability with the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z<0.357)=0.639[/tex]

b) [tex]P(X<640)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{640-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{640-625}{70})=P(z<0.214)[/tex]

And we can find this probability with the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z<0.214)=0.585[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Part a

Let X the random variable that represent the amount of gas of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(625,70)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=625[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=70[/tex]

We are interested on this probability

[tex]P(X<650)[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

If we apply this formula to our probability we got this:

[tex]P(X<650)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{650-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{650-625}{70})=P(z<0.357)[/tex]

And we can find this probability with the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z<0.357)=0.639[/tex]

Part b

[tex]P(X<640)[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

If we apply this formula to our probability we got this:

[tex]P(X<640)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{640-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{640-625}{70})=P(z<0.214)[/tex]

And we can find this probability with the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z<0.214)=0.585[/tex]