What is the probability that out of 65 lambs born on Wooly Farm, at least 32
will be female? Assume that males and females are equally probable, and
round your answer to the nearest tenth of a percent.
O A. 22.9%
O B. 77.1%
O C. 40.2%
O D. 59.8%

Respuesta :

Using the normal approximation to the binomial, it is found that the probability is given by:

D. 59.8%

Normal Probability Distribution

In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • The binomial distribution is the probability of x successes on n trials, with p probability of a success on each trial. It can be approximated to the normal distribution with [tex]\mu = np, \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}[/tex].

In this problem:

  • Males and females are equally probable, hence p = 0.5.
  • 65 lambs are born, hence n = 65.

The mean and the standard deviation of the approximation are given by:

[tex]\mu = np = 65(0.5) = 32.5[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{65(0.5)(0.5)} = 4.03[/tex]

Using continuity correction, the probability that at least 32 will be female is P(X > 31.5), which is one subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 31.5, hence:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{31.5 - 32.5}{4.03}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.25[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.25[/tex] has a p-value of 0.402.

1 - 0.402 = 0.598.

Hence option D is correct.

More can be learned about the normal distribution at https://brainly.com/question/24663213