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A company estimates that 0.8% of their products will fail after the original warranty period but within 2 years of the purchase, with a replacement cost of $400. If they offer a 2 year extended warranty for $27, what is the company's expected value of each warranty sold?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The expected value of each warranty sold is $23.8.

Step-by-step explanation:

0.8% probability of the product failling.

If the product fails, the company will lose 400 - 27 = $373. So a net value of -373.

100 - 0.8 = 99.2% probability of the product not failling.

If the product does not fail, the company gains $27.

What is the company's expected value of each warranty sold?

We multiply each outcome by its probability.

0.008*(-373) + 0.992*27 = 23.8

The expected value of each warranty sold is $23.8.

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