A poll commissioned by Friends of the Earth and conducted by the Mellman Group found that 72% of American voters are in favor a carbon tax. Suppose that six voters in the United States are randomly sampled and asked whether they favor a carbon tax. Determine the probability that the number answering in the affirmative is a. Exactly four. b. At least two

Respuesta :

Answer:

a

  [tex]P(X = 4) = 0.31599[/tex]

b

 [tex]P(X  \ge 2) = 0.9921  [/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

    The proportion in favor of carbon tax is  [tex]p = 0.72[/tex]

    The sample size is  n  = 6

Generally the distribution of poll  follows a binomial distribution  

i.e  

         [tex]X  \~ \ \ \  B(n , p)[/tex]

and the probability distribution function for binomial  distribution is  

      [tex]P(X = x) =  ^{n}C_x *  p^x *  (1- p)^{n-x}[/tex]

Here C stands for combination hence we are going to be making use of the combination function in our calculators      

   Generally the probability that the number answering in the affirmative is  4 is mathematically represented as

       [tex]P(X = 4) =  ^{6}C_4 *  (0.72)^4 *  (1- 0.72)^{6-4}[/tex]

=>     [tex]P(X = 4) = 0.31599[/tex]

   Generally the probability that the number answering in the affirmative is At least two is mathematically represented as

     [tex]P(X  \ge 2) =  1 -  P( X <  2 ) [/tex]

     [tex]P(X  \ge 2) = 1- [ P(X =  0 ) + P( X = 1)] [/tex]

=>  [tex]P(X  \ge 2) = 1- [ [ 1 *  1 * 0.00048 ]+ [ 6 * 0.72 * 0.00172] [/tex]

=>    [tex]P(X  \ge 2) = 1- [ 0.00791 ] [/tex]

=>    [tex]P(X  \ge 2) = 0.9921  [/tex]