If the second mammogram also had a positive result, the probability that the woman has cancer becomes d) 0.52.
The probability that the woman has cancer given a positive second result can be found as:
= (Probability of having cancer and a positive result) / (Probability of a positive result regardless of cancer status)
Solving gives:
= (0.12 x 0.78) / ( (0.12 x 0.78) + (0.88 x 0.1))
= 0.0936 / (0.0936 + 0.088)
= 0.52
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