A project consists of three tasks: A, B, and C. Task A is known to take five days for sure. Tasks B and C are each dependent on A. B takes five days. C takes seven days with a probability of 0.5 and three days with a probability of 0.5. What is the expected completion time of the project

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Answer:

The expected completion time of the project is:

10 days.

Step-by-step explanation:

Duration of Task A = 5 days

Task B and C depend on Task A

This implies that Task A must be completed before Task B and C can be started.

To complete Task B will take 5 days

To complete Task C will take 5 days (7 * 0.5) + (3 * 0.5)

Since Task A takes 5 days and Tasks B and C depend on Task A and Task B takes 5 days and Task C takes expected time of 5 days, it means that the project can be completed in 10 days (5 + 5) if tasks B and C are simultaneously carried out.

The expected completion time of the project is

(i)10 days if B&C are mutually independent

(ii)15 days if B &C are mutually dependent

What is the expected completion time of a task?

Expected completion time of a task= p1x1 + p2x2

Where

p1 & p2 are probabilities.

x1 and x2 are samples.

p1=p2=0.5

x1=7

x2=3

Expected completion time of task C= 0.5*7+0.5*3 = 5 days

Task B and C will be due till task A is not accomplished.

Total time to accomplish task A = 5 days

Total time  to accomplish task B= 5 days

Expected time to accomplish task C = 5 days

If tasks B and C are mutually independent

expected time to complete the project = 5+5=10days

If task C depends on task B

Expected time to complete the project = 5+5+5 = 15 days.

Therefore

The expected completion time of the project is

(i)10 days if B&C are mutually independent

(ii)15 days if B and C are mutually dependent

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